Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000120 0.000132 0.000144 0.000159 0.000175 0.000192 0.000212
2025-11-16 0.000095 0.000112 0.000131 0.000156 0.000185 0.000219 0.000263
2025-11-23 0.000079 0.000098 0.000121 0.000152 0.000191 0.000240 0.000307
2025-11-30 0.000071 0.000091 0.000117 0.000154 0.000203 0.000268 0.000363
2025-12-07 0.000065 0.000086 0.000115 0.000157 0.000216 0.000298 0.000424
2025-12-14 0.000058 0.000080 0.000109 0.000154 0.000219 0.000315 0.000467
2025-12-21 0.000051 0.000073 0.000102 0.000148 0.000218 0.000323 0.000499
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000069 0.000100 0.000149 0.000226 0.000347 0.000556
2026-01-04 0.000045 0.000066 0.000098 0.000150 0.000234 0.000371 0.000617
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000062 0.000094 0.000148 0.000237 0.000386 0.000665
2026-01-18 0.000039 0.000060 0.000093 0.000148 0.000244 0.000410 0.000730
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000146 0.000246 0.000424 0.000779
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000054 0.000087 0.000145 0.000252 0.000446 0.000849
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000051 0.000084 0.000143 0.000254 0.000463 0.000912
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000140 0.000254 0.000475 0.000965
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000047 0.000079 0.000142 0.000264 0.000508 0.001070
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000144 0.000276 0.000546 0.001192
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000142 0.000277 0.000561 0.001261
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000041 0.000072 0.000136 0.000272 0.000563 0.001301
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000040 0.000071 0.000137 0.000279 0.000592 0.001414
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000039 0.000071 0.000138 0.000287 0.000625 0.001540
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000037 0.000069 0.000136 0.000288 0.000642 0.001629
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000036 0.000068 0.000137 0.000295 0.000674 0.001763